TimPer

Timothy Perola
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1.24929

Relative Brier Score

14

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 0 0 14
Comments 0 0 0 0 0
Questions Forecasted 0 0 0 0 13
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 0
 Definitions
New Prediction

They need to wait until the war in Ukraine is over

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New Prediction
TimPer
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0%
IBM Corporation
0%
BrainChip Holdings Ltd.
0%
Qualcomm Technologies, Inc.

I dont see this happening yet. Maybe later this year

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New Prediction

The ban would be obsolete as anyone can circumvent it with VPN and companies in that country would face decrease in efficiency. 

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New Badge
TimPer
earned a new badge:

Questions Forecasted

For forecasting on 10 questions!
New Prediction
TimPer
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
89%
Less than 7%
10%
More than or equal to 7% but less than 12%
0%
More than or equal to 12% but less than 17%
0%
More than or equal to 17% but less than 22%
1%
More than or equal to 22%

Russian civil war is about to start. Ukrainian forces can take all occupied areas back as Putin lead army needs to barricade Moscow and other large cities. 

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New Prediction

Prigozhin has threatened to march on Moscow unless he meets Russia's defence minister - and the UK says Wagner troops are heading towards the capital

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New Prediction

When monies run out and the pople see his stupid war, there will be an uprise

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New Prediction

They have not announced anything related to that. 

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New Prediction
TimPer
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Jul 23, 2023 12:58PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
Yes
Jun 23, 2023 to Dec 23, 2023

China will not risk trade relations with west

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New Prediction
TimPer
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
80%
Less than 4 million
17%
More than or equal to 4 million but less than 6 million
3%
More than or equal to 6 million

There are too few Orb's available globally. And it a bit scary about  privacy and security of their biometric data.

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