I dont see this happening yet. Maybe later this year
1.24929
Relative Brier Score
14
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Mission: Diplomacy,
Mission: AI Advancement,
Decoding Disinformation,
Semiconductor Supply Chain
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
IBM Corporation
0%
BrainChip Holdings Ltd.
0%
Qualcomm Technologies, Inc.
Files
New Prediction
In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
Probability
Answer
25%
Yes
The ban would be obsolete as anyone can circumvent it with VPN and companies in that country would face decrease in efficiency.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
89%
Less than 7%
10%
More than or equal to 7% but less than 12%
0%
More than or equal to 12% but less than 17%
0%
More than or equal to 17% but less than 22%
1%
More than or equal to 22%
Russian civil war is about to start. Ukrainian forces can take all occupied areas back as Putin lead army needs to barricade Moscow and other large cities.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
60%
(+40%)
Yes
Prigozhin has threatened to march on Moscow unless he meets Russia's defence minister - and the UK says Wagner troops are heading towards the capital
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
Yes
When monies run out and the pople see his stupid war, there will be an uprise
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
They have not announced anything related to that.
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jul 23, 2023 12:58PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
Yes
Jun 23, 2023 to Dec 23, 2023
China will not risk trade relations with west
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
80%
Less than 4 million
17%
More than or equal to 4 million but less than 6 million
3%
More than or equal to 6 million
There are too few Orb's available globally. And it a bit scary about privacy and security of their biometric data.
Files
They need to wait until the war in Ukraine is over