SPECIAL NOTICE: INFER is now the RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI). Learn more about RFI.
 

TradingRobots

About:

I am trying to understand the world. Although political capital is confirmed in public, things are happening in public, public markets are significantly huge (at least in the Developed World), decissions are made in closed doors.

Show more
View All Badges »
2021 Season Stats

No Scores Yet

Relative Brier Score

0

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
 
Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 3 0 3
Comments 0 0 2 0 2
Questions Forecasted 0 0 2 0 2
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 1 0 1
 Definitions
New Prediction
What will be the highest price per barrel of Brent crude oil between 4 December 2023 and 31 March 2024?
TradingRobots made their 1st forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
42%
Less than $90
46%
More than or equal to $90 but less than $100
9%
More than or equal to $100 but less than $110
3%
More than or equal to $110 but less than $120
0%
More than or equal to $120
Why do you think you're right?

Significant disruption in Red sea. It will take some time before ships use the shorter route.

The question is asking for the level of the spike, not the level that things will ballance out


Files
Why might you be wrong?

Sanctions on Russia, Chinese reopening, and OPEC+decissions where not enough to send oil higher than 90$. Winter is not as cold as in the past.

Files
New Badge
TradingRobots earned a new badge:

Upvotes Received

New Prediction

Noone seems to have the power to question him

Files
New Prediction

Noone seems to have the power to question him

Files
Load more comments
TradingRobots made a comment:
you are right.
Files
New Badge
TradingRobots earned a new badge:

My First Question

Congratulations on making your first forecast!
New Badge
TradingRobots earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Cancel