Forecasted Questions
Will Nicolás Maduro be president of Venezuela on 11 January 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Jan 11, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
May 31, 2024 08:25PM UTC
(4 months ago)
May 31, 2024 08:25PM UTC
(4 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 90% | 96% | -6% | +2% |
| No | 10% | 4% | +6% | -2% |
Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah in the next 6 months?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2024 01:12AM UTC
(1 day ago)
Sep 30, 2024 01:12AM UTC
(1 day ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60% | Sep 30, 2024 to Mar 30, 2025 | Oct 30, 2024 | 87% | -27% | +5% |
| No | 40% | Sep 30, 2024 to Mar 30, 2025 | Oct 30, 2024 | 13% | +27% | -5% |