I took the general N months he has been in office and not kicked out with is 144. used (1/144)-2=2.006944 * N months to go (2.5) = 5 % - the fact that approval rating are at highs /2 = 2.5. Plus he has been reelected after losing an election before - 0.5. = ~2% chance he will not cease to be the president.
-0.000096
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Why do you think you're right?
Comment deleted on Apr 07, 2024 04:42PM UTC
Why might you be wrong?
Comment deleted on Apr 07, 2024 04:42PM UTC