SPECIAL NOTICE:
INFER is now the RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI).
Learn more about RFI
.
Toggle navigation
FAQ
See Forecasts
Blog
Join Now
Sign In
benjamonky
About:
Show more
View All Badges ยป
Menu
Overview
Forecasts
Performance
Scores
Badges
Following (0)
Followers (2)
Questions
Topics
Seasons
2024 Season
2020 Season
2023 Season
2021 Season
2022 Season
Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Feb 16, 2022 06:45PM UTC
Will China send a daily record number of military planes into Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 1, 2021 and Dec 31, 2021)
0.454753
Feb 08, 2022 06:49AM UTC
Will NVIDIA acquire Arm by March 31, 2022?
-0.092157
Feb 03, 2022 02:00PM UTC
What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the second half of 2021?
0.000526
Jan 31, 2022 03:38PM UTC
How will annual money raised by private U.S. tech companies change over the next three years? - 2021 H2
-0.040523
Jan 31, 2022 03:35PM UTC
How will annual money raised by U.S. tech startups change over the next three years? - 2021 H2
0.056174
Jan 31, 2022 03:17PM UTC
How many U.S. job postings requiring machine learning skills will be published between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
-0.197841
Jan 31, 2022 03:14PM UTC
How will the percentage of highly cited U.S. AI publications supported by a DoD grant change over the next three years? - 2021
0.204263
Jan 31, 2022 03:05PM UTC
How will the ratio of China-authored to U.S.-authored highly cited (top 1%) AI papers change over the next three years? - 2021
0.116167
Jan 31, 2022 02:49PM UTC
How much funding will private U.S. tech companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
-0.148685
Jan 31, 2022 02:48PM UTC
How much funding will U.S. tech startups raise between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
0.001108
Jan 04, 2022 01:22PM UTC
How many AI papers will be posted on arXiv between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
-0.019291
Jan 04, 2022 01:16PM UTC
How many members will the Alphabet Workers Union have by December 31, 2021?
-0.026656
Jan 04, 2022 01:10PM UTC
What percentage of U.S. news articles about AI will be about privacy and security between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
0.175362
Jan 01, 2022 02:17PM UTC
Following El Salvador, will another country classify Bitcoin as legal tender by December 31, 2021?
-0.101681
Jan 01, 2022 01:52PM UTC
Will a G7 country boycott the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics before January 1, 2022?
-0.018806
Jan 01, 2022 01:49PM UTC
Will China sign an official agreement on establishing a future military base in the Pacific Ocean before December 31, 2021?
-0.0197
Jan 01, 2022 01:40PM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
-0.007874
Jan 01, 2022 12:59PM UTC
Will the United States return to compliance with the 2015 Iran nuclear deal by December 31, 2021?
-0.076
Nov 18, 2021 03:56PM UTC
What percentage of software engineer job postings between July 1 and September 30, 2021, inclusive, will allow for remote work?
-0.070275
Nov 18, 2021 12:12PM UTC
When will Ant Financial have an IPO in China or Hong Kong?
-0.000376
« First
‹ Prev
1
2
3
Next ›
Last »
Files
Remove
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Publish Anonymously
Cancel