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benjamonky
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Questions
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Seasons
2020 Season
2023 Season
2021 Season
2022 Season
2024 Season
Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
East Asia Security
Economic Debt
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
Syria
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Sep 26, 2023 04:00PM UTC
Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025?
0.782016
Aug 28, 2023 05:09PM UTC
What percentage of O visas will go to Chinese nationals in FY 2022 (October 2021 through September 2022)?
-0.205717
Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM UTC
What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor chips in 2022?
0.133565
Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM UTC
What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment to China in 2022?
-0.211246
Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM UTC
What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2022?
0.132968
Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM UTC
What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor chips to China in 2022?
-0.178428
Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM UTC
What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment in 2022?
0.022779
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will Li Keqiang be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
0.03581
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will Hu Chunhua be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
-0.31071
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will Chen Min'er be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
-0.357589
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
0.420667
Dec 22, 2022 08:51PM UTC
How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant in FY 2022 (September 2021 through October 2022)?
-0.111991
Aug 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
How will the combined annual revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft change over the next three years? - 2022 H1
0.469857
Jul 23, 2022 04:18PM UTC
Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern between August 1, 2021 and July 31, 2022?
0.938552
Jul 23, 2022 04:17PM UTC
Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern in the next four quarters? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 28, 2021 and Jun 1, 2022)
0.127778
Jul 01, 2022 08:00PM UTC
How will annual money raised by U.S. tech startups change over the next three years? - 2022 H1
0.020581
Jul 01, 2022 08:00PM UTC
How will annual money raised by private U.S. tech companies change over the next three years? - 2022 H1
0.016767
May 31, 2022 03:08PM UTC
Will the United States have the world's fastest supercomputer in June 2022?
1.366111
May 25, 2022 02:09PM UTC
Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied features in the South China Sea between August 1, 2021 and March 31, 2022?
-0.001405
May 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
What will the 'Big 5' (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft) tech companies' average reputation ranking be in the 2022 Axios Harris poll?
0.058065
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