I just can't imagine him leaving for any reason other than health/death
-0.748238
Relative Brier Score
21
Forecasts
1
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 23 | 16 | 103 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 40 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | 40 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Sep 28, 2024 05:16PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
8%
Yes
Jun 28, 2024 to Jun 28, 2025
92%
No
Jun 28, 2024 to Jun 28, 2025
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jul 13, 2024 01:12AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
60%
(+58%)
Yes
Jun 13, 2024 to Dec 13, 2024
40%
(-58%)
No
Jun 13, 2024 to Dec 13, 2024
They attacked a British vessel: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/12/world/middleeast/yemen-houthis-red-sea-ship.html
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
4%
(0%)
Yes
96%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
70%
(0%)
Yes
30%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
70%
(0%)
Yes
30%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Not saying AI is a bubble necessarily, but NVIDIA's meteoric rise seems unsustainable as competitors emerge.