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elifland
Eli Lifland
About:
https://www.elilifland.com/
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Seasons
2020 Season
2023 Season
2021 Season
2022 Season
2024 Season
Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
East Asia Security
Economic Debt
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
Syria
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Jan 01, 2022 01:52PM UTC
Will a G7 country boycott the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics before January 1, 2022?
0.025705
Jan 01, 2022 01:49PM UTC
Will China sign an official agreement on establishing a future military base in the Pacific Ocean before December 31, 2021?
-0.001187
Jan 01, 2022 01:40PM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
-0.014949
Jan 01, 2022 12:59PM UTC
Will the United States return to compliance with the 2015 Iran nuclear deal by December 31, 2021?
0.108975
Jan 01, 2022 05:00AM UTC
What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor chips in 2021?
-0.118192
Jan 01, 2022 05:00AM UTC
What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment in 2021?
-0.149075
Nov 18, 2021 03:56PM UTC
What percentage of software engineer job postings between July 1 and September 30, 2021, inclusive, will allow for remote work?
0.266718
Nov 18, 2021 12:12PM UTC
When will Ant Financial have an IPO in China or Hong Kong?
-0.095639
Nov 16, 2021 02:24PM UTC
What will the trade-to-GDP ratio for China be in the first two quarters of 2021?
0.097247
Nov 16, 2021 01:34PM UTC
What will the trade-to-GDP ratio for all OECD member countries be in the first two quarters of 2021?
-0.144549
Nov 16, 2021 12:53PM UTC
What percentage of O visas will go to Chinese nationals in FY 2021 (October 1, 2020 to September 30, 2021)?
-0.292217
Oct 17, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 17, 2021 and Oct 17, 2021)
0.005573
Oct 17, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 17, 2021 and Oct 17, 2021)
-0.002673
Oct 17, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Will China seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied feature in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 17, 2021 and Oct 17, 2021)
-0.001213
Oct 01, 2021 06:31PM UTC
[Experimental] What will be the consensus crowd forecast on October 1, 2021, on whether COVID-19 originated in a lab in Wuhan, China?
-0.069487
Sep 23, 2021 10:19AM UTC
What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor chips to China in the first half of 2021?
-0.111253
Sep 17, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Aug 17, 2021 and Sep 17, 2021)
0.00704
Sep 17, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Aug 17, 2021 and Sep 17, 2021)
-0.000574
Sep 17, 2021 11:00AM UTC
Will China seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied feature in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Aug 17, 2021 and Sep 17, 2021)
-0.000458
Jul 30, 2021 11:11AM UTC
What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the first two quarters (January 1 through June 30) of 2021?
-0.172688
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