henrytolchard

Henry Tolchard
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Forecasted Questions

By 31 December 2024, will Microsoft announce that its AI Research Lab in China is closing or being relocated?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Dec 30, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 04, 2024 12:27PM UTC
(1 day ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 1% 5%
No 99% 95%

Will Myanmar hold national elections before 1 July 2025?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 04, 2024 12:28PM UTC
(1 day ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 1%
No 100% 99%

Before 1 January 2025, will Iran announce that it will leave the JCPOA ("Iran nuclear deal")?

Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 04, 2024 12:28PM UTC
(1 day ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 1%
No 100% 99%
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