henrytolchard

Henry Tolchard
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Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 3 3 36 19 232
Comments 0 0 2 1 50
Questions Forecasted 3 3 13 5 32
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 4 2 55
 Definitions
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henrytolchard
made their 4th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (-3%)
Yes
100% (+3%)
No

Time

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Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
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henrytolchard
made their 3rd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
3% (-2%)
Yes
97% (+2%)
No

Time

Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
henrytolchard
made their 3rd forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Mar 19, 2024 02:18PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
2% (-1%)
Yes
Feb 19, 2024 to Mar 19, 2024
98% (+1%)
No
Feb 19, 2024 to Mar 19, 2024

Staying low as the strikes between Israel and Hezbollah seem to not be immediately leading to a larger war

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New Prediction
henrytolchard
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Mar 12, 2024 02:30PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
3% (0%)
Yes
Feb 12, 2024 to Mar 12, 2024
97% (0%)
No
Feb 12, 2024 to Mar 12, 2024

Holding steady as the possibility of Israel launching an operation into Rafah increases

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