Time
0.069934
Relative Brier Score
19
Forecasts
2
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 3 | 3 | 36 | 19 | 232 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 50 |
| Questions Forecasted | 3 | 3 | 13 | 5 | 32 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 55 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-3%)
Yes
100%
(+3%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(-1%)
Yes
99%
(+1%)
No
Time
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(-2%)
Yes
97%
(+2%)
No
Time
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Mar 19, 2024 02:18PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
2%
(-1%)
Yes
Feb 19, 2024 to Mar 19, 2024
98%
(+1%)
No
Feb 19, 2024 to Mar 19, 2024
Staying low as the strikes between Israel and Hezbollah seem to not be immediately leading to a larger war
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Mar 12, 2024 02:30PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
3%
(0%)
Yes
Feb 12, 2024 to Mar 12, 2024
97%
(0%)
No
Feb 12, 2024 to Mar 12, 2024
Holding steady as the possibility of Israel launching an operation into Rafah increases
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(-1%)
Yes
98%
(+1%)
No
Time
Files
Time