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jecs89
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Seasons
2020 Season
2023 Season
2021 Season
2022 Season
2024 Season
Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
East Asia Security
Economic Debt
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
Syria
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
By 31 December 2023, will IBM Quantum Computing offer access to a quantum computing system with 1,000 or more qubits?
-0.000564
Nov 18, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Will Google’s Quantum AI lab publish 20 or more publications in 2023?
0.228868
Apr 20, 2023 06:16PM UTC
What percentage of contributions to Github's “very high impact” AI projects will be from the EU in 2022?
0.162896
Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM UTC
How will the U.S. rank in AI skills penetration in 2022?
-0.189756
Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM UTC
Which country or union will have the second most citations of "high impact" AI scientific publications in 2022?
0.242932
Apr 05, 2023 07:15PM UTC
Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test on or before 31 March 2023?
0.269905
Feb 01, 2023 06:46PM UTC
Will the European Union’s economic sanctions on Russia expire or be revoked for whole sectors or industries by 31 January 2023?
0.521453
Jan 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
Will China announce an end to its zero Covid policy by 31 December 2022?
0.040426
Jul 27, 2022 12:59PM UTC
How many tech startup layoff events will be recorded in July 2022?
0.708934
Jul 23, 2022 04:17PM UTC
Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern in the next four quarters? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 28, 2021 and Jun 1, 2022)
-0.484961
Jul 06, 2022 03:59AM UTC
What percentage of Arizona will be facing severe drought or worse on 5 July 2022?
0.600334
Jul 01, 2022 08:00PM UTC
How will annual money raised by private U.S. tech companies change over the next three years? - 2022 H1
0.175853
Jul 01, 2022 01:25PM UTC
Will Tether (USDT) trade below $0.95 at any time before 1 July 2022?
0.256543
Apr 28, 2022 01:30AM UTC
When will 1 billion people in India receive at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?
0.686003
Mar 16, 2022 04:00PM UTC
In Stanford University's 2022 AI Report, what percentage of new US resident PhD's in AI will be Asian, Black or African American, Hispanic, or multiracial?
0.209877
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