118th
Accuracy Rank

jiexinching

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Forecasted Questions

Will the Houthi movement and Yemen reach a ceasefire that is in effect on 31 December 2024 and lasts at least six months?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 12, 2024 09:42PM UTC
(10 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 31% 0%
No 69% 100%

Will Russia deliver the below weapons systems to Iran before 1 February 2025?

Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 12, 2024 09:42PM UTC
(10 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
S-400 or S-500 missile system 10% 9%
Su-35 fighter jets 20% 7%

Will Myanmar hold national elections before 1 July 2025?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 19, 2024 10:06PM UTC
(10 months ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 27% 1%
No 73% 99%
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