Forecasted Questions
Will the Houthi movement and Yemen reach a ceasefire that is in effect on 31 December 2024 and lasts at least six months?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 12, 2024 09:42PM UTC
(9 months ago)
Jan 12, 2024 09:42PM UTC
(9 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 31% | 0% | +31% | -16% |
| No | 69% | 100% | -31% | +16% |
Will Russia deliver the below weapons systems to Iran before 1 February 2025?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 12, 2024 09:42PM UTC
(9 months ago)
Jan 12, 2024 09:42PM UTC
(9 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-400 or S-500 missile system | 10% | 9% | +1% | +1% |
| Su-35 fighter jets | 20% | 7% | +13% | -11% |
Will Myanmar hold national elections before 1 July 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(9 months from now)
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(9 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 19, 2024 10:06PM UTC
(9 months ago)
Jan 19, 2024 10:06PM UTC
(9 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 27% | 2% | +26% | -43% |
| No | 73% | 99% | -26% | +43% |