Maybe!
1.137944
Relative Brier Score
13
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 60 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Mar 9, 2024 09:41PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
13%
Yes
Feb 9, 2024 to Mar 9, 2024
87%
No
Feb 9, 2024 to Mar 9, 2024
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
27%
Yes
73%
No
Maybe they will
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Feb 12, 2024 09:42PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
22%
(0%)
Yes
Jan 12, 2024 to Jul 12, 2024
78%
(0%)
No
Jan 12, 2024 to Jul 12, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
39%
(0%)
Yes
61%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
S-400 or S-500 missile system
20%
(0%)
Su-35 fighter jets
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
55%
(0%)
Yes
45%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will Iran launch missiles targeting Israel or conduct an airstrike in Israel in the next six months?
This forecast expired on Apr 12, 2024 09:42PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
7%
(0%)
Yes
Jan 12, 2024 to Jul 12, 2024
93%
(0%)
No
Jan 12, 2024 to Jul 12, 2024
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
31%
(0%)
Yes
69%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
They might.