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jparker2022

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2022 Season Stats

0.001692

Relative Brier Score

0

Forecasts

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 Definitions
New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Xi jinping wants stability in intl system, economic damage and sanctions in time of a slowing Chinese economy, likely biding time for military action in a few years, no visible preparations taken

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Why might you be wrong?
deflect attention away from internal covid issues/protests, boost xi jinping's approval among nationalists, china may see us and europe as too preoccupied with russia and energy crisis in europe, china doesn't want the taiwanese to develop security plans/forces after example of ukraine, could attack before Taiwanese 2024 elections
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New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Strong grip on power, economy is doing better than projected, info operation campaigns within the country are relatively effective,

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Why might you be wrong?

Internal turmoil, a division between PMC and military, talk of nationalization of oligarchs' assets

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My First Question

Congratulations on making your first forecast!
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Making my first forecast!
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