Strong grip on power, economy is doing better than projected, info operation campaigns within the country are relatively effective,
0.001692
Relative Brier Score
3
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Russia-Ukraine War,
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(-8%)
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Internal turmoil, a division between PMC and military, talk of nationalization of oligarchs' assets
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
13%
Yes
Making my first forecast!
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Xi jinping wants stability in intl system, economic damage and sanctions in time of a slowing Chinese economy, likely biding time for military action in a few years, no visible preparations taken
Why might you be wrong?