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markusanderljung
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2020 Season
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Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
East Asia Security
Economic Debt
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
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U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Mar 18, 2021 06:27PM UTC
What percentage of software engineer job postings between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive, will allow for remote work?
0.064847
Nov 03, 2020 02:25PM UTC
Will any private messages obtained in the July 15, 2020 Twitter hack be leaked to the public by November 2, 2020?
-0.034008
Oct 31, 2020 03:04PM UTC
What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the third quarter of 2020 (ending September 30)?
-0.010333
Oct 01, 2020 06:17PM UTC
How many AI papers will be posted on arXiv between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
0.163535
Oct 01, 2020 02:37PM UTC
What percentage of U.S. news articles about facial recognition will have a negative framing between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
-0.032639
Oct 01, 2020 04:00AM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea by September 30, 2020?
-0.000785
Sep 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
Will the U.S. Justice Department file an antitrust lawsuit against Google by September 14, 2020?
0.075529
Sep 13, 2020 06:54PM UTC
Will Microsoft announce an agreement to purchase TikTok service in the United States by September 15, 2020?
0.574421
Sep 01, 2020 01:31PM UTC
Will either China or the United States withdraw from their January 2020 trade truce by August 31, 2020?
-0.006297
Aug 16, 2020 03:59AM UTC
What percentage of U.S. news articles about AI will be about privacy and security between June 15 and August 15, 2020, inclusive?
-0.008588
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