markusanderljung

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    Date Ended Question Relative Brier Score
    Mar 18, 2021 06:27PM What percentage of software engineer job postings between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive, will allow for remote work? 0.064847
    Nov 3, 2020 02:25PM Will any private messages obtained in the July 15, 2020 Twitter hack be leaked to the public by November 2, 2020? -0.034008
    Oct 31, 2020 03:04PM What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the third quarter of 2020 (ending September 30)? -0.010333
    Oct 1, 2020 06:17PM How many AI papers will be posted on arXiv between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive? 0.163535
    Oct 1, 2020 02:37PM What percentage of U.S. news articles about facial recognition will have a negative framing between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive? -0.032639
    Oct 1, 2020 04:00AM Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea by September 30, 2020? -0.000785
    Sep 15, 2020 03:59AM Will the U.S. Justice Department file an antitrust lawsuit against Google by September 14, 2020? 0.075529
    Sep 13, 2020 06:54PM Will Microsoft announce an agreement to purchase TikTok service in the United States by September 15, 2020? 0.574421
    Sep 1, 2020 01:31PM Will either China or the United States withdraw from their January 2020 trade truce by August 31, 2020? -0.006297
    Aug 16, 2020 03:59AM What percentage of U.S. news articles about AI will be about privacy and security between June 15 and August 15, 2020, inclusive? -0.008588
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