Realiatocally will only happen if he dies. Found on reddits theydidthemath page that an average 86 year old in the us has 0.036% to die on a given day and we have about 45 days to 1st of may. Thats 1.6%. He is youger and sporty + it seems he does less risky daily behavior. Bt has some other risk factors like assassination or smth so maybe that evens out.
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Realiatocally will only happen if he dies. Found on reddits theydidthemath page that an average 86 year old in the us has 0.036% to die on a given day and we have about 45 days to 1st of may. Thats 1.6%. He is youger and sporty + it seems he does less risky daily behavior. Bt has some other risk factors like assassination or smth so maybe that evens out.
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