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New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
8%
(-4%)
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
12%
(0%)
Yes
They set targets for 2050, which makes me think thath they are not hugely serious about doing anything immediately?Only $5 million was invested, which makes me think it is not a hugely
The definition is pretty loose: only needs to have done sort of testserious aim yet?flight. This makes me morte confident, but still not that much lmao
Flight seems like an expeOle says oops: maybe actually much easier to test? So more possible? 15%? OVERALL FOR OLE: 5%. SeemsUnsure
how often planes are tested with different fuels for these purposes, but it seemd pretty costly and the Semm small company, not a huge investment compared to the value generated (I’d guess)
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
12%
Yes
They set targets for 2050, which makes me think thath they are not hugely serious about doing anything immediately?Only $5 million was invested, which makes me think it is not a hugely
The definition is pretty loose: only needs to have done sort of testserious aim yet?flight. This makes me morte confident, but still not that much lmao
Flight seems like an expeOle says oops: maybe actually much easier to test? So more possible? 15%? OVERALL FOR OLE: 5%. SeemsUnsure
how often planes are tested with different fuels for these purposes, but it seemd pretty costly and the Semm small company, not a huge investment compared to the value generated (I’d guess)
Files
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