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potato0104
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2020 Season
2023 Season
2021 Season
2022 Season
2024 Season
Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
East Asia Security
Economic Debt
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
Syria
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM UTC
What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment to China in 2022?
0.126133
Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM UTC
What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2022?
0.158995
Dec 22, 2022 08:51PM UTC
How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant in FY 2022 (September 2021 through October 2022)?
-0.086094
May 25, 2022 02:09PM UTC
Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied features in the South China Sea between August 1, 2021 and March 31, 2022?
-0.002503
Feb 08, 2022 06:49AM UTC
Will NVIDIA acquire Arm by March 31, 2022?
0.297469
Feb 03, 2022 02:00PM UTC
What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the second half of 2021?
0.061298
Jan 31, 2022 03:17PM UTC
How many U.S. job postings requiring machine learning skills will be published between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
0.420641
Jan 01, 2022 02:17PM UTC
Following El Salvador, will another country classify Bitcoin as legal tender by December 31, 2021?
-0.108489
Jan 01, 2022 01:40PM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
-0.005197
Nov 18, 2021 03:56PM UTC
What percentage of software engineer job postings between July 1 and September 30, 2021, inclusive, will allow for remote work?
0.226486
Jul 01, 2021 05:30PM UTC
Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied features in the South China Sea before July 1, 2021?
-0.001001
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