147th
Accuracy Rank

pugcaster

1.101166

Relative Brier Score

240

Forecasts

39

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 83 12 486
Comments 0 0 9 0 59
Questions Forecasted 0 0 43 12 116
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 3 1 44
 Definitions
New Prediction

Updated since lack of progress despite being closer to resolution date

Files
New Prediction
pugcaster
made their 3rd forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Oct 13, 2024 07:57PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1% (0%)
Yes
Sep 13, 2024 to Mar 13, 2025
99% (0%)
No
Sep 13, 2024 to Mar 13, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
pugcaster
made their 6th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
4% (0%)
S-400 or S-500 missile system
2% (0%)
Su-35 fighter jets
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
pugcaster
made their 6th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Kuwait
1% (-1%)
Oman
0% (0%)
Qatar
2% (-3%)
Saudi Arabia
0% (0%)
Tunisia

Updated since lack of progress despite being closer to resolution date

Files
New Prediction

Updated since lack of progress despite being closer to resolution date

Files
New Prediction
pugcaster
made their 3rd forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Oct 13, 2024 07:54PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
7% (0%)
Yes
Sep 13, 2024 to Mar 13, 2025
93% (0%)
No
Sep 13, 2024 to Mar 13, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction

Updated as closer to date

Files
New Prediction
pugcaster
made their 3rd forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Oct 13, 2024 07:53PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (-3%)
Yes
Sep 13, 2024 to Mar 13, 2025
100% (+3%)
No
Sep 13, 2024 to Mar 13, 2025

Updated based on recent lack of progression

Files
Files
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