Forecasted Questions
Will Iran agree to limit uranium enrichment to 5% or less in the next 6 months?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 01, 2024 05:01PM UTC
(22 days ago)
Nov 01, 2024 05:01PM UTC
(22 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | Nov 1, 2024 to May 1, 2025 | Feb 1, 2025 | 0% | +0% | +0% |
Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 15, 2024 07:05PM UTC
(8 days ago)
Nov 15, 2024 07:05PM UTC
(8 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 25% | Nov 15, 2024 to May 15, 2025 | Dec 15, 2024 | 57% | -32% | +1% |
| No | 75% | Nov 15, 2024 to May 15, 2025 | Dec 15, 2024 | 43% | +32% | -1% |
Will Iran be at war with another country in the next year?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 15, 2024 07:28PM UTC
(8 days ago)
Nov 15, 2024 07:28PM UTC
(8 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 30% | Nov 15, 2024 to Nov 15, 2025 | Feb 15, 2025 | 22% | +8% | +0% |
| No | 70% | Nov 15, 2024 to Nov 15, 2025 | Feb 15, 2025 | 78% | -8% | +0% |
Will Russia deliver the below weapons systems to Iran before 1 February 2025?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Feb 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 15, 2024 07:29PM UTC
(8 days ago)
Nov 15, 2024 07:29PM UTC
(8 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S-400 or S-500 missile system | 45% | 9% | +36% | +0% |
| Su-35 fighter jets | 30% | 6% | +24% | +0% |
Will Iran launch missiles or conduct an airstrike against U.S. forces in the next six months?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 15, 2024 07:31PM UTC
(8 days ago)
Nov 15, 2024 07:31PM UTC
(8 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | Nov 15, 2024 to May 15, 2025 | Dec 15, 2024 | 1% | +2% | +0% |
| No | 97% | Nov 15, 2024 to May 15, 2025 | Dec 15, 2024 | 99% | -2% | +0% |