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Vanessa
About:
RFI team member and Managing Director at Cultivate Labs
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Questions
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Seasons
2020 Season
2023 Season
2021 Season
2022 Season
2024 Season
Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
East Asia Security
Economic Debt
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
Syria
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Mar 18, 2021 06:27PM UTC
What percentage of software engineer job postings between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive, will allow for remote work?
-0.090616
Mar 07, 2021 09:22PM UTC
What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2021 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?
-0.103972
Feb 18, 2021 03:07PM UTC
What will be the opening price of GameStop stock on Tuesday, February 16?
0.111672
Feb 01, 2021 02:48PM UTC
How much funding will private U.S. tech companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
0.01363
Jan 04, 2021 01:58PM UTC
What will the ratio of AI publications to machine learning research job postings be for Apple, Amazon, Facebook, Google, and Microsoft, combined, in 2020?
0.252028
Jan 04, 2021 01:49PM UTC
What percentage of AI papers posted on arXiv will be in the field of computer vision between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
-0.051122
Nov 03, 2020 05:49PM UTC
Will China add a U.S. company to its Unreliable Entities List by November 2, 2020?
0.242783
Nov 03, 2020 02:25PM UTC
Will any private messages obtained in the July 15, 2020 Twitter hack be leaked to the public by November 2, 2020?
0.066384
Oct 21, 2020 02:47PM UTC
What percentage of O-1 visas will go to Chinese nationals between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
0.183975
Oct 15, 2020 04:00AM UTC
Will the United States add SMIC to the Entity List by October 14, 2020?
0.116989
Oct 01, 2020 02:37PM UTC
What percentage of U.S. news articles about facial recognition will have a negative framing between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
-0.121942
Oct 01, 2020 04:00AM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea by September 30, 2020?
0.151276
Sep 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
Will the U.S. Justice Department file an antitrust lawsuit against Google by September 14, 2020?
0.435779
Sep 13, 2020 06:54PM UTC
Will Microsoft announce an agreement to purchase TikTok service in the United States by September 15, 2020?
0.024736
Sep 01, 2020 01:31PM UTC
Will either China or the United States withdraw from their January 2020 trade truce by August 31, 2020?
-0.000541
Aug 16, 2020 03:59AM UTC
What percentage of U.S. news articles about AI will be about privacy and security between June 15 and August 15, 2020, inclusive?
-0.099727
Aug 11, 2020 03:59AM UTC
Will the Chinese government add Apple, Qualcomm, Cisco, or Boeing to its 'unreliable entities list' by August 10, 2020?
0.151226
Aug 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
Will Germany, France, Italy, or Spain announce any new restrictions on the use of Huawei equipment in their 5G networks by July 31, 2020?
0.166944
Jul 18, 2020 03:59AM UTC
Will the U.S. government cancel or shorten the 24-month STEM extension to the Optional Practical Training program by July 17, 2020?
0.046636
Jul 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
Will the Indian government continue the TikTok ban through July 14, 2020?
0.050977
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