Forecasted Questions
In the next 18 months, will a Russian government cyber attack occur against energy or transportation infrastructure within a NATO country that produces a kinetic effect, causing physical damage or human casualties?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 17, 2024 12:34PM UTC
(5 days ago)
Nov 17, 2024 12:34PM UTC
(5 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 95% | Nov 17, 2024 to May 17, 2026 | Feb 17, 2025 | 12% | +83% | +4% |
| No | 5% | Nov 17, 2024 to May 17, 2026 | Feb 17, 2025 | 88% | -83% | -4% |