Confirmed previous forecast
-1.157195
Relative Brier Score
4
Forecasts
0
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No forecasts in the past 3 months
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
Comments | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Definitions |
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This forecast expired on Jan 2, 2024 05:11PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
5%
(0%)
Yes
Dec 2, 2023 to Jun 2, 2024
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This forecast expired on Dec 18, 2023 06:11PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
35%
Yes
Nov 18, 2023 to May 18, 2024
65%
No
Nov 18, 2023 to May 18, 2024
Because of the ongoing Israel-Hamas war and the conflict spreading to Lebanon and potentially other parts of the Middle East, it will be difficult for Saudi Arabia to normalize positions with Israel
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This forecast expired on Nov 21, 2023 05:10PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
90%
Yes
Oct 21, 2023 to Nov 21, 2023
The global controversy and hatred around not the attack itself but the rotten core issue will remain for quite a long time
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Why do you think you're right?
Focused more on Hamas right now
Why might you be wrong?
Hezbollah is unpredictable