Confirmed previous forecast
-1.013154
Relative Brier Score
5
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
International Diplomacy & Conflict,
Iran: Threats & Influence
Most Active Topics:
Iran Nuclear Program,
Iran-VNSAs
New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jan 2, 2024 05:11PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
5%
(0%)
Yes
Dec 2, 2023 to Jun 2, 2024
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 18, 2023 06:11PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
35%
Yes
Nov 18, 2023 to May 18, 2024
65%
No
Nov 18, 2023 to May 18, 2024
Because of the ongoing Israel-Hamas war and the conflict spreading to Lebanon and potentially other parts of the Middle East, it will be difficult for Saudi Arabia to normalize positions with Israel
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Nov 21, 2023 05:10PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
90%
Yes
Oct 21, 2023 to Nov 21, 2023
The global controversy and hatred around not the attack itself but the rotten core issue will remain for quite a long time
Files
New Badge
Why do you think you're right?
Focused more on Hamas right now
Why might you be wrong?
Hezbollah is unpredictable