zhu

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0.608713

Relative Brier Score

11

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 8 8 49 46 76
Comments 0 0 2 2 3
Questions Forecasted 8 8 12 12 22
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 1 1 1
 Definitions
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
zhu
made their 4th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
15% (0%)
Kharkiv
1% (0%)
Kyiv
1% (0%)
Odesa
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
zhu
made their 4th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
10% (0%)
Moldova
1% (0%)
Armenia
1% (0%)
Georgia
1% (0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
zhu
made their 4th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
1% (0%)
Estonia
1% (0%)
Latvia
1% (0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
zhu
made their 4th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
99% (0%)
Yes
1% (0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
zhu
made their 4th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
30% (0%)
Yes
70% (0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
zhu
made their 8th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Oct 31, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
zhu
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
zhu
made their 6th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1% (0%)
Yes
Oct 31, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
99% (0%)
No
Oct 31, 2024 to Apr 30, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
zhu
made their 4th forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Oct 24, 2024 09:08PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10% (-10%)
Yes
Sep 24, 2024 to Mar 24, 2025
90% (+10%)
No
Sep 24, 2024 to Mar 24, 2025
following the crowd prediction
Files
Files
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