pablo

Pablo Pedro Matias
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    Date Ended Question Relative Brier Score
    Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment to China in 2022? 0.280794
    May 31, 2022 03:08PM Will the United States have the world's fastest supercomputer in June 2022? -0.066179
    May 1, 2022 04:00AM What will the 'Big 5' (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft) tech companies' average reputation ranking be in the 2022 Axios Harris poll? -0.011401
    Apr 28, 2022 04:00AM What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey? -0.099112
    Feb 28, 2022 03:38PM Will Russia invade Ukraine by December 31, 2022? 0.508244
    Jan 31, 2022 03:14PM How will the percentage of highly cited U.S. AI publications supported by a DoD grant change over the next three years? - 2021 0.319367
    Jan 31, 2022 02:48PM How much funding will U.S. tech startups raise between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive? 0.114165
    Jan 1, 2022 02:17PM Following El Salvador, will another country classify Bitcoin as legal tender by December 31, 2021? 0.004844
    Jan 1, 2022 01:52PM Will a G7 country boycott the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics before January 1, 2022? 0.074419
    Jan 1, 2022 12:59PM Will the United States return to compliance with the 2015 Iran nuclear deal by December 31, 2021? 0.220444
    Nov 18, 2021 03:56PM What percentage of software engineer job postings between July 1 and September 30, 2021, inclusive, will allow for remote work? -0.285963
    Nov 17, 2021 11:00AM Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 17, 2021 and Nov 17, 2021) 0.005545
    Oct 17, 2021 11:00AM Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 17, 2021 and Oct 17, 2021) 0.00763
    Feb 1, 2021 02:48PM How much funding will private U.S. tech companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive? -0.001732
    Nov 13, 2020 04:08PM When will China officially recognize a winner of the U.S. presidential election? -0.070033
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