barry

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    Date Ended Question Relative Brier Score
    Apr 18, 2023 04:06PM How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for January, February, and March 2023 combined? -0.000071
    Apr 5, 2023 07:15PM Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test on or before 31 March 2023? -0.000038
    Apr 1, 2023 04:00AM Will SpaceX launch Starship into orbit before 1 April 2023? 0.0
    Apr 1, 2023 04:00AM Will any of the following countries announce on or before 31 March 2023 that they are joining the United States’ chip export ban against China? -0.00024
    Mar 17, 2023 02:12PM Will a European country announce that they are sending fighter jets to Ukraine by 30 April 2023? 0.408869
    Jan 1, 2023 05:01AM Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022? -0.00658
    Feb 3, 2022 02:00PM What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the second half of 2021? -0.068836
    Jan 31, 2022 03:17PM How many U.S. job postings requiring machine learning skills will be published between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive? -0.134835
    Jan 31, 2022 02:48PM How much funding will U.S. tech startups raise between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive? 0.045881
    Jan 4, 2022 01:22PM How many AI papers will be posted on arXiv between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive? 0.094701
    Jan 4, 2022 01:10PM What percentage of U.S. news articles about AI will be about privacy and security between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive? -0.048639
    Jan 1, 2022 01:52PM Will a G7 country boycott the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics before January 1, 2022? 0.076977
    Nov 18, 2021 03:56PM What percentage of software engineer job postings between July 1 and September 30, 2021, inclusive, will allow for remote work? 0.045912
    Nov 18, 2021 12:12PM When will Ant Financial have an IPO in China or Hong Kong? -0.037163
    Jul 1, 2021 05:30PM Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied features in the South China Sea before July 1, 2021? 0.00126
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