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Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
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INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
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Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
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The Water Cooler
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metric-question
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Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
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semiconductors
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U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Sep 26, 2023 04:00PM
Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025?
0.38043
Apr 28, 2022 04:00AM
What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?
0.090188
Jan 31, 2022 02:28PM
How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant between October 1, 2020 and September 30, 2021, inclusive?
0.085554
Jan 4, 2022 01:16PM
How many members will the Alphabet Workers Union have by December 31, 2021?
0.259983
Jan 1, 2022 12:59PM
Will the United States return to compliance with the 2015 Iran nuclear deal by December 31, 2021?
0.124048
Nov 16, 2021 12:53PM
What percentage of O visas will go to Chinese nationals in FY 2021 (October 1, 2020 to September 30, 2021)?
-0.536506
Mar 7, 2021 09:22PM
What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2021 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?
0.045052
Nov 3, 2020 02:25PM
Will any private messages obtained in the July 15, 2020 Twitter hack be leaked to the public by November 2, 2020?
-0.037716
Oct 21, 2020 02:47PM
What percentage of O-1 visas will go to Chinese nationals between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
-0.124987
Oct 1, 2020 02:37PM
What percentage of U.S. news articles about facial recognition will have a negative framing between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
-0.01311
Sep 1, 2020 01:31PM
Will either China or the United States withdraw from their January 2020 trade truce by August 31, 2020?
0.087527
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