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smithg
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Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
Biotechnology and Biomedical Capabilities
China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
East Asia Security
Economic Debt
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Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
Syria
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Sep 26, 2023 04:00PM
Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025?
0.788366
Apr 28, 2022 04:00AM
What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?
-0.31463
Apr 1, 2022 04:00AM
What percentage of the combined revenue of the top five semiconductor manufacturing equipment producers will come from China in 2021?
0.008494
Mar 1, 2022 05:00AM
What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2021?
-0.007508
Jan 31, 2022 02:28PM
How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant between October 1, 2020 and September 30, 2021, inclusive?
-0.005823
Jan 4, 2022 01:19PM
How many of the top chipmakers in China will be subject to new export controls in 2021?
-0.071503
Jan 3, 2022 01:44PM
What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2021?
-0.034678
Jan 3, 2022 01:41PM
What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2021?
-0.005466
Jan 1, 2022 12:59PM
Will the United States return to compliance with the 2015 Iran nuclear deal by December 31, 2021?
-0.814428
Jan 1, 2022 05:00AM
What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor chips in 2021?
-0.002962
Jan 1, 2022 05:00AM
What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment in 2021?
0.111801
Nov 18, 2021 12:12PM
When will Ant Financial have an IPO in China or Hong Kong?
0.412141
Nov 16, 2021 02:24PM
What will the trade-to-GDP ratio for China be in the first two quarters of 2021?
-0.007556
Nov 16, 2021 01:34PM
What will the trade-to-GDP ratio for all OECD member countries be in the first two quarters of 2021?
0.064421
Nov 16, 2021 12:53PM
What percentage of O visas will go to Chinese nationals in FY 2021 (October 1, 2020 to September 30, 2021)?
-0.09348
Sep 23, 2021 10:19AM
What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor chips to China in the first half of 2021?
-0.094429
Jul 30, 2021 11:11AM
What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the first two quarters (January 1 through June 30) of 2021?
0.158181
Jul 1, 2021 05:32PM
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea between January 1 and June 30, 2021, inclusive?
0.02424
Apr 17, 2021 09:56PM
How many postings for U.S. jobs requiring machine learning skills will be published between January 1 and March 31, 2021, inclusive?
-0.003492
Apr 10, 2021 03:56AM
How many times will the Japanese Air Force respond to threats to Japan's territorial airspace by Chinese military aircraft between April 1, 2020 and March 31, 2021, inclusive?
0.105053
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