smithg

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    Date Ended Question Relative Brier Score
    Sep 26, 2023 04:00PM Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025? 0.788366
    Apr 28, 2022 04:00AM What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey? -0.31463
    Apr 1, 2022 04:00AM What percentage of the combined revenue of the top five semiconductor manufacturing equipment producers will come from China in 2021? 0.008494
    Mar 1, 2022 05:00AM What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2021? -0.007508
    Jan 31, 2022 02:28PM How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant between October 1, 2020 and September 30, 2021, inclusive? -0.005823
    Jan 4, 2022 01:19PM How many of the top chipmakers in China will be subject to new export controls in 2021? -0.071503
    Jan 3, 2022 01:44PM What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2021? -0.034678
    Jan 3, 2022 01:41PM What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2021? -0.005466
    Jan 1, 2022 12:59PM Will the United States return to compliance with the 2015 Iran nuclear deal by December 31, 2021? -0.814428
    Jan 1, 2022 05:00AM What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor chips in 2021? -0.002962
    Jan 1, 2022 05:00AM What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment in 2021? 0.111801
    Nov 18, 2021 12:12PM When will Ant Financial have an IPO in China or Hong Kong? 0.412141
    Nov 16, 2021 02:24PM What will the trade-to-GDP ratio for China be in the first two quarters of 2021? -0.007556
    Nov 16, 2021 01:34PM What will the trade-to-GDP ratio for all OECD member countries be in the first two quarters of 2021? 0.064421
    Nov 16, 2021 12:53PM What percentage of O visas will go to Chinese nationals in FY 2021 (October 1, 2020 to September 30, 2021)? -0.09348
    Sep 23, 2021 10:19AM What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor chips to China in the first half of 2021? -0.094429
    Jul 30, 2021 11:11AM What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the first two quarters (January 1 through June 30) of 2021? 0.158181
    Jul 1, 2021 05:32PM Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea between January 1 and June 30, 2021, inclusive? 0.02424
    Apr 17, 2021 09:56PM How many postings for U.S. jobs requiring machine learning skills will be published between January 1 and March 31, 2021, inclusive? -0.003492
    Apr 10, 2021 03:56AM How many times will the Japanese Air Force respond to threats to Japan's territorial airspace by Chinese military aircraft between April 1, 2020 and March 31, 2021, inclusive? 0.105053
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