almondjoyaficionado

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    Date Ended Question Relative Brier Score
    Sep 26, 2023 04:00PM Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025? 0.0
    Mar 1, 2023 05:01AM Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Feb 17, 2022 and Sep 1, 2022) -0.002037
    Feb 2, 2023 05:00AM Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 17, 2022 and Aug 17, 2022) -0.000309
    Jan 1, 2023 05:01AM Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022? 0.003809
    Apr 28, 2022 01:30AM When will 1 billion people in India receive at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine? -0.159586
    Feb 28, 2022 03:38PM Will Russia invade Ukraine by December 31, 2022? -0.251471
    Feb 3, 2022 02:00PM What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the second half of 2021? 0.023355
    Jan 31, 2022 03:17PM How many U.S. job postings requiring machine learning skills will be published between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive? 0.129917
    Jan 1, 2022 01:52PM Will a G7 country boycott the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics before January 1, 2022? 0.034781
    Dec 17, 2021 11:00AM Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 17, 2021 and Dec 17, 2021) 0.0
    Nov 18, 2021 03:56PM What percentage of software engineer job postings between July 1 and September 30, 2021, inclusive, will allow for remote work? -0.034285
    Nov 17, 2021 11:00AM Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 17, 2021 and Nov 17, 2021) -0.000745
    Oct 17, 2021 11:00AM Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 17, 2021 and Oct 17, 2021) -0.00099
    Sep 17, 2021 11:00AM Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Aug 17, 2021 and Sep 17, 2021) -0.00039
    Jul 1, 2021 05:30PM Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied features in the South China Sea before July 1, 2021? 0.077415
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