Confirmed previous forecast
0.183794
Relative Brier Score
29
Forecasts
3
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will events involving Russian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities occurring on or in the soil, airspace, or territorial waters of a NATO member state before 1 April 2023?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Nov 12, 2022 01:37PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Oct 12, 2022 to Nov 12, 2022
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
99%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files