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Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Jan 16, 2024 07:32PM UTC
From 1 September 2022 to 31 August 2023, will ACLED record 1,000 or more civilian fatalities in India?
-0.00012
Jan 16, 2024 07:32PM UTC
From 1 September 2022 to 31 August 2023, will ACLED record 800 or more civilian fatalities in El Salvador?
-0.000964
Sep 26, 2023 04:00PM UTC
Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025?
-0.028113
Sep 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
From 1 September 2022 to 31 August 2023, will 50 or more fatalities be attributed to one or more non-state armed groups with Salafi jihadi ideology in India?
-0.001984
Aug 28, 2023 05:09PM UTC
What percentage of O visas will go to Chinese nationals in FY 2022 (October 2021 through September 2022)?
-0.081755
Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM UTC
What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor chips in 2022?
-0.037644
Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM UTC
What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment to China in 2022?
0.014068
Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM UTC
What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2022?
-0.036807
Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM UTC
What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor chips to China in 2022?
0.057557
Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM UTC
What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment in 2022?
-0.008474
Aug 21, 2023 04:00AM UTC
From 1 August 2022 to 31 July 2023, will 200 or more fatalities be attributed to one or more non-state armed groups with Salafi jihadi ideology in the North Central and North West zones of Nigeria?
-0.001719
Aug 21, 2023 04:00AM UTC
From 1 August 2022 to 31 July 2023, will the UCDP Georeferenced Event Dataset attribute 500 or more fatalities to the Iran - Israel conflict?
-0.000241
Aug 14, 2023 04:00AM UTC
From 1 August 2022 and 31 July 2023, will ACLED record 100 or more protest and riot-related fatalities in Brazil?
-0.004146
Aug 14, 2023 04:00AM UTC
From 1 August 2022 to 31 July 2023, will ACLED record 1,000 or more fatalities from conflict or political violence in Israel, Gaza, and the West Bank?
-0.000894
Aug 14, 2023 04:00AM UTC
From 1 August 2022 to 31 July 2023, will ACLED record at least 50 protests or riots or at least 10 protest- or riot-related fatalities in Saudi Arabia's Eastern Province?
-0.000067
Aug 14, 2023 04:00AM UTC
From 1 August 2022 to 31 July 2023, will ACLED record 10,000 or more civilian fatalities in Ethiopia?
-0.000051
Aug 14, 2023 04:00AM UTC
From 1 August 2022 to 31 July 2023, will ACLED record 1000 or more fatalities from conflicts or political violence in Kenya?
-0.00425
Apr 21, 2023 04:49PM UTC
Will clashes between Chinese and Indian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities between 28 April 2022 and 1 April 2023?
-0.001915
Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM UTC
From April 2022 through March 2023, what will be the highest number of ACLED recorded protests/riots in a single calendar month in Lebanon?
-0.000494
Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM UTC
Will events involving Russian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities occurring in Georgia or Moldova before 1 April 2023?
-0.002498
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