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jrriggs2124
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Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
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Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
Biotechnology and Biomedical Capabilities
China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
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Economic Debt
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Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
Syria
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Dec 30, 2023 02:16PM
What percentage of Ukrainian territory will be held by Russia in December 2023?
0.011303
Mar 17, 2023 02:12PM
Will a European country announce that they are sending fighter jets to Ukraine by 30 April 2023?
0.409928
Mar 1, 2023 05:01AM
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Feb 17, 2022 and Sep 1, 2022)
0.002366
Dec 29, 2022 05:00AM
In the next six months, will U.S. and China announce the establishment of an ongoing bilateral dialog mechanism that includes discussions of emerging technologies? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 31, 2022 and Jun 29, 2022)
-0.00166
Jul 28, 2022 07:10PM
Will the U.S. Congress pass a tax credit for semiconductor manufacturing or design before 1 January 2023?
0.358215
Mar 16, 2022 04:00PM
In Stanford University's 2022 AI Report, what percentage of new US resident PhD's in AI will be Asian, Black or African American, Hispanic, or multiracial?
0.234401
Feb 28, 2022 03:38PM
Will Russia invade Ukraine by December 31, 2022?
0.184105
Feb 24, 2022 03:00PM
What percentage of the continental U.S. will be experiencing severe drought or worse on 22 February 2022?
0.119985
Feb 17, 2022 11:00AM
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 17, 2022 and Feb 17, 2022)
-0.003252
Jan 31, 2022 03:05PM
How will the ratio of China-authored to U.S.-authored highly cited (top 1%) AI papers change over the next three years? - 2021
-0.001868
Jan 17, 2022 11:00AM
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 17, 2021 and Jan 17, 2022)
-0.01291
Dec 17, 2021 11:00AM
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 17, 2021 and Dec 17, 2021)
-0.00544
Nov 17, 2021 11:00AM
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 17, 2021 and Nov 17, 2021)
-0.0072
Oct 17, 2021 11:00AM
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 17, 2021 and Oct 17, 2021)
-0.00384
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