Soren

About:

Show more
View All Badges »
    Date Ended Question Relative Brier Score
    Aug 14, 2023 04:00AM From 1 August 2022 to 31 July 2023, will ACLED record 1000 or more fatalities from conflicts or political violence in Kenya? 0.015791
    Apr 20, 2023 03:23PM What percentage of contributions to Github's "very high impact" AI projects will be from China in 2022? 0.033011
    Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM How will the U.S. rank in AI skills penetration in 2022? -0.004945
    Apr 17, 2023 04:00AM From 1 April 2022 to 1 April 2023, what will be the highest number of ACLED recorded protests/riots in a single calendar month in Russia? -0.008013
    Apr 1, 2023 04:01AM Before 1 April 2023, will the government of the Republic of Srpska declare secession from Bosnia-Herzegovina (BiH), establish a timeline for secession, or schedule a referendum on secession? 0.037804
    Jan 1, 2023 05:01AM Will Hu Chunhua be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022? 0.005249
    Jan 1, 2023 05:01AM Will Chen Min'er be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022? 0.021593
    Jan 1, 2023 05:01AM By 31 December 2022, will the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company announce plans to build a semiconductor fab in Europe? -0.000094
    Dec 29, 2022 10:00PM What will be the outcome of the Israeli legislative election on 1 November 2022? -0.016116
    Nov 28, 2022 03:46PM Will Jair Bolsonaro formally contest the results of the 2022 Brazilian presidential election by 31 December 2022? 0.002077
    Nov 17, 2022 04:00PM In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 17, 2022 and Nov 17, 2022) -0.000077
    Oct 31, 2022 01:49PM How many U.S. teams will be named as a Winner or Runner Up at the 2022 iGEM Grand Jamboree in Paris? -0.043591
    Oct 17, 2022 04:00PM In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 17, 2022 and Oct 17, 2022) -0.000127
    Jul 31, 2022 04:00AM Will the U.S. House Subcommittee on Consumer Protection and Commerce vote on the Algorithmic Accountability Act of 2022 before 31 July 2022? 0.214755
    Jul 30, 2022 04:00AM Will the U.S. Senate vote on the American Innovation and Choice Online Act before 30 July 2022? -0.022898
    Jul 29, 2022 01:55PM How much revenue will Intel report for the second quarter of 2022? 0.046383
    Jul 27, 2022 12:59PM How many tech startup layoff events will be recorded in July 2022? -0.030385
    Jul 21, 2022 01:00PM How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for June 2022? 0.084845
    Jul 6, 2022 03:59AM What percentage of Arizona will be facing severe drought or worse on 5 July 2022? 0.005738
    Jul 1, 2022 01:33PM By 30 June 2022, will a date be announced for a Mobileye IPO? 0.194146
     
    Files
    Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
    Cancel