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mateoren
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2024 Season
2020 Season
2025 Season
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2023 Season
2022 Season
Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
Biotechnology and Biomedical Capabilities
China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
East Asia Security
Economic Debt
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
Syria
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Sep 30, 2024 11:02PM
Will Israel declare war on Hezbollah in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between Mar 14, 2024 and Sep 30, 2024)
-0.001301
Jun 1, 2024 04:00AM
Before 1 June 2024, will Facebook, WhatsApp, Messenger, or Twitter announce that they are labeling posts as potentially written by AI?
-0.088268
Aug 14, 2023 04:00AM
From 1 August 2022 to 31 July 2023, will ACLED record 1000 or more fatalities from conflicts or political violence in Kenya?
-0.000722
Apr 18, 2023 04:06PM
How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for January, February, and March 2023 combined?
0.031023
Apr 10, 2023 09:00PM
What will be the highest average price recorded for a gallon of diesel in the U.S. between 6 Feb 2023 and 10 Apr 2023?
-0.0001
Apr 5, 2023 07:15PM
Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test on or before 31 March 2023?
-0.187424
Apr 1, 2023 04:01AM
Before 1 April 2023, will the government of the Republic of Srpska declare secession from Bosnia-Herzegovina (BiH), establish a timeline for secession, or schedule a referendum on secession?
0.000773
Apr 1, 2023 04:00AM
Will Chinese security or paramilitary forces take possession of any island currently under control of Taiwan before 1 April 2023?
0.001147
Apr 1, 2023 04:00AM
Will SpaceX launch Starship into orbit before 1 April 2023?
-0.000004
Apr 1, 2023 04:00AM
Will any of the following countries announce on or before 31 March 2023 that they are joining the United States’ chip export ban against China?
-0.049793
Mar 22, 2023 04:00PM
How many Chinese Universities will be listed in QS World University Rankings’ top 100 universities for computer science in 2023?
0.048039
Mar 21, 2023 04:00PM
How much will On Running earn in net sales from shoes in Q4 2022?
0.334608
Mar 19, 2023 04:00AM
Will Microsoft's AI-powered “new Bing” be available to the public by 30 April 2023?
0.113842
Mar 17, 2023 02:12PM
Will a European country announce that they are sending fighter jets to Ukraine by 30 April 2023?
0.17369
Feb 3, 2023 05:00AM
Will China launch more orbital rockets than the U.S. in January 2023?
0.014026
Feb 1, 2023 06:46PM
Will the European Union’s economic sanctions on Russia expire or be revoked for whole sectors or industries by 31 January 2023?
0.000179
Jan 2, 2023 05:01AM
Will the price per chip-hour of Google’s cloud-based Tensor Processing Unit (TPU v4) be greater than $3.22 on January 1, 2023?
-0.003896
Jan 1, 2023 05:01AM
By 31 December 2022, will the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company announce plans to build a semiconductor fab in Europe?
-0.09429
Jan 1, 2023 05:00AM
Will China announce an end to its zero Covid policy by 31 December 2022?
0.007817
Jan 1, 2023 04:59AM
In the next 6 months, will the United States Government publicly cancel or deny 1 or more visas to employees of any Chinese-based company accused of committing intellectual property theft? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 17, 2022 and Jan 1, 2023)
0.001514
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