RAND Forecasting Initiative

Date Ended	Question	Relative Brier Score
Aug 1, 2022 01:52PM	Will the Council of the European Union announce sanctions on the provision of cloud services to Russia before 31 July 2022?	-0.000017
Jul 31, 2022 04:00AM	Will the U.S. House Subcommittee on Consumer Protection and Commerce vote on the Algorithmic Accountability Act of 2022 before 31 July 2022?	0.215866
Jul 31, 2022 04:00AM	Will the French data protection authority (CNIL) announce a fine against Clearview AI before 31 July 2022?	0.35448
Jul 30, 2022 04:00AM	Will the U.S. Senate vote on the American Innovation and Choice Online Act before 30 July 2022?	-0.000016
Jul 27, 2022 12:59PM	How many tech startup layoff events will be recorded in July 2022?	-0.000294
Jul 21, 2022 01:00PM	How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for June 2022?	-0.000921
Jul 6, 2022 03:59AM	What percentage of Arizona will be facing severe drought or worse on 5 July 2022?	0.139735
Jul 1, 2022 01:33PM	By 30 June 2022, will a date be announced for a Mobileye IPO?	0.034296
Jun 30, 2022 09:02PM	On 30 June 2022, how much funding will Crunchbase’s “Hub for Artificial Intelligence Companies Founded in the Last Year” report that those companies have raised?	-0.000006
Jun 4, 2022 04:00AM	What will be the price of crude oil futures on 3 June 2022?	0.0
Jun 2, 2022 01:40PM	What will be the price per ton of aluminum on 1 June 2022?	-0.003055
May 31, 2022 03:08PM	Will the United States have the world's fastest supercomputer in June 2022?	0.082672
May 6, 2022 09:00PM	What will be the end of day closing price of the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) on 6 May 2022?	0.02705