Forecasted Questions
Will Ali Khamenei flee Iran or cease to be Supreme Leader in the next year?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Apr 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 27, 2024 07:51PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Sep 27, 2024 07:51PM UTC
(3 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 8% | Sep 27, 2024 to Sep 27, 2025 | Dec 27, 2024 | 5% | +3% | +1% |
| No | 92% | Sep 27, 2024 to Sep 27, 2025 | Dec 27, 2024 | 95% | -3% | -1% |