Confirmed previous forecast
1.798738
Relative Brier Score
15
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
40%
(0%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
(-45%)
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
It seems there is a trend of dwindling fatalities in El Salvador as of late.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Hard to tell what will happen in future, especially in an uncertain country like El Salvador.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Unsure, wild guess
Why might you be wrong?
Unsure, wild guess, likelihood I am wrong.