Confirmed previous forecast
-0.020363
Relative Brier Score
4
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Definitions |
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New Prediction
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
22%
(0%)
Less than 10
27%
(0%)
More than or equal to 10 but less than 15
31%
(0%)
More than or equal to 15 but less than 20
20%
(0%)
More than or equal to 20
Files
Why do you think you're right?
As protests grow, Beijing is opting to strength its grip
Why might you be wrong?
Maybe if protests become too much, they will gradually end it.