President Putin is very stubborn in continuing in Rusia’s presidency. He thinks nobody else can do it better and no one can protect Rusia interest in the world. What prevails jefe is Putin opinión ínstelas of the best for russian people.
0.175288
Relative Brier Score
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
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| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Because a Coup d’etat or any other social reactions as a Putin decisions against Ukraine or other allies countries to US
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
(0%)
Yes
70%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
Probability
Answer
45%
(0%)
Less than 5%
50%
(0%)
More than or equal to 5% but less than 6%
5%
(0%)
More than or equal to 6%
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
90%
(0%)
Less than 20%
5%
(0%)
More than or equal to 20% but less than 24%
5%
(0%)
More than or equal to 24%
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
35%
(0%)
Less than 7%
45%
(0%)
More than or equal to 7% but less than 12%
12%
(0%)
More than or equal to 12% but less than 17%
8%
(0%)
More than or equal to 17% but less than 22%
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 22%
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
Yes
70%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Australia is a very far country to Taiwan not just geographically but also culturally. Australia has no important interests in this case.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Because Taiwan is a pivotal actor in some sectors like technology and that makes it a key actor in the international relations. For Australia could be strategic have links with Taiwan.
Files
New Prediction
In collaboration with the UK Professional Head of Intelligence Assessment
Probability
Answer
45%
(0%)
Less than 5%
50%
(0%)
More than or equal to 5% but less than 6%
5%
(0%)
More than or equal to 6%
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Because of geopolitical interest
Why might you be wrong?
Because for an specific regional conflict