As escalation in tensions continue increasing in reference to the Gaza Strip situation, it is unlikely that Arab countries will seek to enhance relations with Israel. There is plenty pressure over the international community.
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New Prediction
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 30, 2023 05:04PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
2%
Yes
Nov 30, 2023 to May 30, 2024
98%
No
Nov 30, 2023 to May 30, 2024
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New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jan 1, 2024 01:18PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
Yes
Oct 1, 2023 to Apr 1, 2024
In September, it was announced that Iran indicated that uranium enrichment will remain. Moreover, it was disclose that there are cases or enrichment above 60%, a limit approaching nuclear weapons.
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
8%
Yes
92%
No
Iran is unlike to abandon the treaty as authorities have pushed to maintain international agreements related to the use of uranium.
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Why do you think you're right?
Likely, the lack of US support to Ukraine will force the government to reach an agreement.
Why might you be wrong?
Likely, the US government will reach an agreement with Ukraine to control its natural resources, and provide again military aid and economic support.