MichelleCG

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Forecasted Questions
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Forecasted Questions - 2025 Season
MichelleCGAverageamongforecasters0123456Active Questions ForecastedScored Questions Forecasted

    Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?

    Forecast Count:
    4 Forecasts
    Question Ends:
    Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
    (10 months from now)
    Forecast Last Updated:
    Feb 28, 2025 10:25PM
    (16 days ago)
    Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
    Yes 0% Feb 28, 2025 to Aug 28, 2025 Mar 28, 2025 10:25PM 1%
    No 100% Feb 28, 2025 to Aug 28, 2025 Mar 28, 2025 10:25PM 99%

    Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?

    Forecast Count:
    3 Forecasts
    Question Ends:
    Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
    (10 months from now)
    Forecast Last Updated:
    Feb 28, 2025 10:27PM
    (16 days ago)
    Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
    Yes 1% Feb 28, 2025 to Aug 28, 2025 Mar 28, 2025 10:27PM 2%
    No 99% Feb 28, 2025 to Aug 28, 2025 Mar 28, 2025 10:27PM 98%

    Will another Chinese military base in an African country (excluding Djibouti) be under construction or established by 1 January 2027?

    Forecast Count:
    2 Forecasts
    Question Ends:
    Jan 1, 2027 05:00AM
    (2 years from now)
    Forecast Last Updated:
    Feb 28, 2025 10:27PM
    (16 days ago)
    Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
    Yes 90% 39%
    No 10% 61%

    Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test within the next six months?

    Forecast Count:
    1 Forecast
    Question Ends:
    Jan 1, 2026 05:00AM
    (10 months from now)
    Forecast Last Updated:
    Feb 28, 2025 10:41PM
    (16 days ago)
    Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
    Yes 70% Feb 28, 2025 to Aug 28, 2025 Mar 28, 2025 10:41PM 7%
    No 30% Feb 28, 2025 to Aug 28, 2025 Mar 28, 2025 10:41PM 93%
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