Forecasted Questions
Will Iran eliminate its stockpile of uranium enriched up to 60% by 31 December 2024, according to the IAEA?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 28, 2023 04:25PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Sep 28, 2023 04:25PM UTC
(1 year ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes, the stockpile will be reduced by 100% to 0 kg | 0% | 0% | +0% | -1% |
| No, the stockpile will be reduced by 50% or more (>0 kg - 61.8 kg) | 20% | 0% | +20% | -1% |
| No, the stockpile will be reduced by less than 50% (>61.8 kg - 123.6 kg) | 26% | 1% | +25% | -11% |
| No, the stockpile will increase (>123.6 kg) | 54% | 99% | -45% | +14% |