They love conflict unfortunately
5.129349
Relative Brier Score
27
Forecasts
1
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 44 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 22 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
43%
Estonia
85%
Latvia
42%
Lithuania
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
23%
(-41%)
Yes
77%
(+41%)
No
There is much AI growth in China.
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jun 26, 2024 01:39PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
70%
Yes
Mar 26, 2024 to Mar 26, 2025
30%
No
Mar 26, 2024 to Mar 26, 2025
There is increased conflict, reason to flee.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
25%
(-14%)
Yes
75%
(+14%)
No
They don't want to give in and do the right thing
Files
He is a ruthless leader that won't go away.