Date Ended | Question | Relative Brier Score |
---|---|---|
Mar 1, 2023 05:00AM | Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 March 2023? | 0.279836 |
Dec 6, 2022 08:00PM | Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 6, 2022 and Dec 6, 2022) | 0.002427 |
Nov 6, 2022 08:00PM | Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 6, 2022 and Nov 6, 2022) | 0.014797 |